Analytics
Resolved Daniil Medvedev on 12 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Daniil Medvedev at 86.5%. The Daniil Medvedev side opened at 84% on 11 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 11 Oct 2026 to 12 Oct 2026, the highest close was 86.5% on 12 Oct 2026 and the lowest 84% on 11 Oct 2026. $508.28K traded over the market's life.
94 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 11:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Daniil Medvedev price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 11 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026, chart shows 80%–92%
| Observed | Daniil Medvedev price |
|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2026 | 84.0% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | 86.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Dalibor Svrcina | 24.98K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Dalibor Svrcina | 20.58K |
| AnonymousUsername | Dalibor Svrcina | 11.65K |
| RN1 | Dalibor Svrcina |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Dalibor Svrcina in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Dalibor Svrcina. This market will resolve to 'Dalibor Svrcina' if Dalibor Svrcina advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-medvede-svrcina-2026-10-11
| 8.83K |
| Lilybaeum | Dalibor Svrcina | 6.61K |
| anon122 | Dalibor Svrcina | 5.5K |
| k56 | Dalibor Svrcina | 5K |
| Notradecopy | Dalibor Svrcina | 4.55K |
| GamblingAddict12345 | Dalibor Svrcina | 4.55K |
| Murky-Fallingout | Dalibor Svrcina | 3K |
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