Analytics
Resolved Adrian Mannarino on 25 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Adrian Mannarino at 60.5%. The Alex Molcan side was at 39.5% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 2 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, the price held at 39.5%. $458.89 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 3:06 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Alex Molcan price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 12:00 UTC, chart shows 30%–45%
| Observed | Alex Molcan price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 39.5% |
| 25 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 39.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bagwell306 | Alex Molcan | 300 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Molcan and Adrian Mannarino in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alex Molcan" if Alex Molcan wins by 2 or more sets than Adrian Mannarino, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Adrian Mannarino." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Alex Molcan can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Adrian Mannarino." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-mannari-molcan-2026-10-25
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