Analytics
Resolved Alan Magadan on 25 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Alan Magadan at 93.5%. The Alan Magadan side was at 77% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 93.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 77% on 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $35.21K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 10:18 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Alan Magadan price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 70%–100%
| Observed | Alan Magadan price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 77.0% |
| 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 93.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ferrariChampions2026 | Mario Andre Galarraga | 11.35K |
| JourneyPM | Mario Andre Galarraga | 1.22K |
| topdogbigboi | Mario Andre Galarraga | 200 |
| RN1 | Mario Andre Galarraga |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alan Magadan and Mario Andre Galarraga in the Guayaquil, Ecuador, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alan Magadan' if Alan Magadan advances against Mario Andre Galarraga. This market will resolve to 'Mario Andre Galarraga' if Mario Andre Galarraga advances against Alan Magadan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-magadan-galarra-2026-10-25
| 186 |
| Neat-Robot | Mario Andre Galarraga | 121.29 |
| Violet Pioneer 4928 | Mario Andre Galarraga | 120.94 |
| noclevername | Mario Andre Galarraga | 110.01 |
| Oulu18 | Mario Andre Galarraga | 100 |
| Bruins4Life | Mario Andre Galarraga | 21 |
| Cosmic Sphinx BB94 | Mario Andre Galarraga | 16.95 |
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