Analytics
Resolved Maks Kasnikowski on 11 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Maks Kasnikowski at 55.5%. The Francesco Maestrelli side opened at 44.5% on 10 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 11 Sep 2026, the price held at 44.5%. $240.89K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 12, 12:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Francesco Maestrelli price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 11 Sep 2026, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Francesco Maestrelli price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 44.5% |
| 11 Sep 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flawed-Backpack | Francesco Maestrelli | 1.9K |
| phatgentleman | Francesco Maestrelli | 1.55K |
| Alexsd21 | Francesco Maestrelli | 1.12K |
| EVryBet4 | Francesco Maestrelli |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Maks Kasnikowski in the Istanbul 3, originally scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Maks Kasnikowski. This market will resolve to 'Maks Kasnikowski' if Maks Kasnikowski advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-maestre-kasniko-2026-09-11
| 754.33 |
| Qx12 | Francesco Maestrelli | 595.24 |
| Amber Atlas A7B9 | Francesco Maestrelli | 323.53 |
| Swift Voyager FBB3 | Francesco Maestrelli | 248.39 |
| Jonhyk | Francesco Maestrelli | 243.48 |
| Concrete-Diving | Francesco Maestrelli | 212.26 |
| clownly | Francesco Maestrelli | 175.09 |
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