Analytics
Resolved Pablo Carreno Busta on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Pablo Carreno Busta at 48.5%. The Tomas Machac side opened at 52.5% on 13 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Aug 2026 to 14 Aug 2026, the highest close was 52.5% on 13 Aug 2026 and the lowest 51.5% on 14 Aug 2026. $1.15M traded over the market's life.
244 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 7:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Tomas Machac price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Aug 2026 – 14 Aug 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Tomas Machac price |
|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 | 52.5% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| UpTheBlues | Tomas Machac | 45.98K |
| one8tyfive | Tomas Machac | 28K |
| Bagwell306 | Tomas Machac | 22.5K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Tomas Machac | 11.83K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Tomas Machac and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Tomas Machac. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-machac-busta-2026-08-13
| omnibus-076daa | Tomas Machac | 11.19K |
| danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6 | Tomas Machac | 10K |
| hi774c | Tomas Machac | 6.89K |
| Cosmic Voyager 8792 | Tomas Machac | 5.91K |
| avotrade | Tomas Machac | 4.36K |
| ForAndWithYou | Tomas Machac | 3.91K |
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