Analytics
Resolved Under on 25 Oct 2026.
The last price read before settlement had Under at 55.5%. The Over side was at 43.5% at 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, the earliest read in hand. Before it settled, across 3 price reads from 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC to 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC, the highest read was 44.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC and the lowest 43.5% on 25 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. $61.8 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 26, 8:28 PM UTC
6-hour closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC – 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct, 06:00 UTC | 43.5% |
| 25 Oct, 18:00 UTC | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SSL | Over | 1.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Daniel de Jonge in the Sioux Falls Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks, including any Champions/Super tiebreak, count as one (1) game. If the match is postponed or suspended, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. A postponement alone will not trigger a 50-50 resolution. If the match is permanently abandoned before completion, or if the match has not been completed by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome has already been unconditionally determined based on completed play. An outcome is considered unconditionally determined if it would have been guaranteed under every possible completion of the match played according to the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round, including whether a final set is played as a full set or as a match tiebreak. For example, for a line of 21.5, if play stops at 6-3, 5-6, completing the match would have required at least 2 additional games, resulting in at least 22 games played, so "Over" would resolve as the winning outcome. Likewise, if the published format replaces the final set with a match tiebreak, that tiebreak counts as one (1) game, so for a line of 22.5, if play stops at 6-2, 3-3, the match could have reached at most 22 games and "Under" would resolve as the winning outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be official ATP Tour statistics; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-legout-jonge-2026-10-25
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
