Analytics
Resolved Pavel Kotov on 18 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Pavel Kotov at 64.5%. The Pavel Kotov side opened at 66% on 17 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 17 Sep 2026 to 18 Sep 2026, the highest close was 66% on 17 Sep 2026 and the lowest 64.5% on 18 Sep 2026. $183.59K traded over the market's life.
66 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 19, 2:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Pavel Kotov price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 17 Sep 2026 – 18 Sep 2026, chart shows 60%–72%
| Observed | Pavel Kotov price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2026 | 66.0% |
| 18 Sep 2026 | 64.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vladiva | Rio Noguchi | 12.49K |
| one8tyfive | Rio Noguchi | 6.46K |
| Rightbuddy | Rio Noguchi | 3.37K |
| 15ba | Rio Noguchi | 3.35K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Pavel Kotov and Rio Noguchi in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pavel Kotov' if Pavel Kotov advances against Rio Noguchi. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Pavel Kotov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-kotov-noguchi-2026-09-18
| DCABC | Rio Noguchi | 1.55K |
| caspar1248 | Rio Noguchi | 847.95 |
| arahbo | Rio Noguchi | 644.39 |
| deepakrego | Rio Noguchi | 500 |
| Damp-Psychologist | Rio Noguchi | 486.06 |
| 0xC3f146o2l78esb | Rio Noguchi | 468.33 |
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