Analytics
Resolved August Holmgren on 14 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had August Holmgren at 50%. Yes opened at 53.2% on 13 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Jul 2026 to 14 Jul 2026, the highest close was 53.2% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 14 Jul 2026. $50.66K traded over the market's life.
74 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 15, 7:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Jul 2026 – 14 Jul 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2026 | 53.2% |
| 14 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| comon119 | Yosuke Watanuki | 7.5K |
| one8tyfive | Yosuke Watanuki | 3.52K |
| flatbarrel | Yosuke Watanuki | 1.98K |
| dex57 | Yosuke Watanuki | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between August Holmgren and Yosuke Watanuki in the Granby, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Yosuke Watanuki. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against August Holmgren. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-holmgre-watanuk-2026-07-13
| tenidspfmsp | Yosuke Watanuki | 696.26 |
| bravewarriorrrrrr | Yosuke Watanuki | 620.98 |
| LaarsY | Yosuke Watanuki | 587.32 |
| WeBuyHighWeSelllow | Yosuke Watanuki | 376.93 |
| Nostdam | Yosuke Watanuki | 200 |
| saepul | Yosuke Watanuki | 156.66 |
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