Analytics
Resolved No on 14 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2026 to 14 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 13 Sep 2026 and the lowest 25.1% on 14 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 25.1% on 14 Sep 2026. $370 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 15, 2:16 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Sep 2026 – 14 Sep 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | 50.0% |
| 14 Sep 2026 | 25.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Jagged-Pavement-Chicory | Yes | 260 |
| a5533 | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mikalai Haliak and Yuta Kikuchi in the Guangzhou, China, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-haliak-kikuchi-2026-09-13
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