Analytics
Resolved Hernan Casanova on 12 Oct 2026.
$42.43K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 13, 7:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Hernan Casanova price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 12 Oct 2026, chart shows 76%–86%
| Observed | Hernan Casanova price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 81.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| vladiva | Wilson Leite | 6.27K |
| Golden Sphinx BDB3 | Wilson Leite | 2.29K |
| neutralwave23 | Wilson Leite | 1.09K |
| Bagwell306 | Wilson Leite | 1K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Wilson Leite | 811.57 |
| clownly | Wilson Leite | 600 |
| CAcap | Wilson Leite | 474 |
| Specific-Pear-Whirlwind | Wilson Leite | 400 |
| TheRomanProcurator | Wilson Leite | 340.64 |
| Violet Tide 3530 | Wilson Leite | 340 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Hernan Casanova and Wilson Leite in the Santa Cruz 2, Bolivia, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hernan Casanova' if Hernan Casanova advances against Wilson Leite. This market will resolve to 'Wilson Leite' if Wilson Leite advances against Hernan Casanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-casanov-leite-2026-10-12
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