Analytics
Resolved Federico Arnaboldi on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Federico Arnaboldi at 48%. The Federico Arnaboldi side opened at 45.5% on 20 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 20 Sep 2026 to 21 Sep 2026, the highest close was 48% on 21 Sep 2026 and the lowest 45.5% on 20 Sep 2026. $91.9K traded over the market's life.
51 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 5:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Federico Arnaboldi price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Sep 2026 – 21 Sep 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Federico Arnaboldi price |
|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | 45.5% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 48.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Sitydeltrap | Florian Broska | 3.91K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Florian Broska | 3.82K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Florian Broska | 3.54K |
| TRCM | Florian Broska |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Arnaboldi and Florian Broska in the Genoa 2, originally scheduled for September 21, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Florian Broska. This market will resolve to 'Florian Broska' if Florian Broska advances against Federico Arnaboldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/atp-arnabol-broska-2026-09-21
| 2.63K |
| rugmoney | Florian Broska | 1.64K |
| smallballwins | Florian Broska | 672.43 |
| flatbarrel | Florian Broska | 461.1 |
| Generous-Impudence | Florian Broska | 362.18 |
| Solar Scout 9811 | Florian Broska | 317.46 |
| arahbo | Florian Broska | 300 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
