Atlas global browser market share 5%+ on December 31?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$20.2K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 23.5% on 24 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 71 daily closes on record from 24 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 23.5% on 24 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 10 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 7.5% on 25 Oct 2025. $20.17K traded over the market's life.

25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 12:32 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 71 points, 24 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–30%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Oct 2025	23.5%
1 Jan 2026	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
tailevent	Yes	600
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	291
iVYVbwELKs	Yes	284

10 of 25 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Atlas global browser market share is at least the listed percentage on December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The relevant data will be sourced from StatCounter Global Stats, utilizing the following settings: Statistic: Browser; Checked: Desktop, Mobile, Tablet, Console; Region: Worldwide; Period: Daily (https://gs.statcounter.com/browser-market-share#daily-20251014-20251020). Only the first released data will be considered; later revisions will not be used. If “Atlas” is not explicitly listed under these settings when data for this date is first released, the lowest range bracket will resolve “Yes". If the data is not reported by January 15, 2026, at 11:59 p.m. ET, or if the primary resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, an alternative resolution source will be selected.