
Resolved Yes on 8 Dec 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 88.5%. Yes opened at 14% on 3 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 3 Dec 2024 to 8 Dec 2024, the highest close was 88.5% on 8 Dec 2024 and the lowest 14% on 3 Dec 2024. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 44% on 6 Dec 2024. $420.24K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 9, 3:55 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 3 Dec 2024 – 8 Dec 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2024 | 14.0% |
| 8 Dec 2024 | 88.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | No | 17.16K |
| harrisoncheyenne | No | 104.49 |
| crowley666 | No | 27.78 |
| Cobalt Comet 9A15 | No | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Syria's president, Bashar al-Assad, is removed from power for any length of time between December 1, 2024, and March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". President Bashar al-Assad will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as President of Syria within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/assad-out-as-president-of-syria-by-march-31-2025
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