Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 39 daily closes on record from 25 Nov 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 9 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 30 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 38% on 27 Nov 2025. $90.7K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 39 points, 25 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 13.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Idle-Mushroom | Yes | 13.24K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 309 |
| Nervenarzt | Yes | 293.85 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arne Slot ceases to be manager of Liverpool F.C. for any length of time between November 24, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Arne Slot's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Liverpool F.C. and/or Arne Slot, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/arne-slot-out-as-liverpool-manager-in-2025
| Yes |
| 287.8 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 265.96 |
| 696969696969696969 | Yes | 250 |
| alex315406 | Yes | 212.42 |
| adriancooney | Yes | 201.14 |
| kksj | Yes | 178.58 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 176 |
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