Analytics
Resolved Yes on 9 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.7%. Yes opened at 90.1% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, the high was 98.5% on 8 Sep 2026 and the low 90.1% on 4 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.6 points up, to 97.8% on 5 Sep 2026. $64.74K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 10, 7:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 9 Sep 2026, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 90.1% |
| 9 Sep 2026 | 97.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Lollan69 | No | 30K |
| Wellsonlo | No | 3.85K |
| piton | No | 2.44K |
| JumperChip | No | 1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple announces it has or will release a foldable iPhone during the "Surprise and Shine" event currently scheduled for 10 a.m. PT on September 9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve immediately upon qualifying announcements from Apple, regardless of if/when the specified product becomes available for purchase. Any announcements made outside of the "Surprise and Shine" event will not qualify. Only announcements made at the specified event will qualify. Any foldable smartphone announced by Apple will qualify, even if it is not explicitly branded as an iPhone. If the "Surprise and Shine" event does not occur by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/apple-announces-foldable-iphone-at-surprise-and-shine-event
| Gojohnnygo | No | 977.07 |
| Venerated-Demur | No | 938 |
| Cryptopatt | No | 826.21 |
| 321321321 | No | 803.97 |
| ox3b7ed1242417f4b8f6992b5dd53aa9415a2c23eb | No | 612.24 |
| Neighboring-Ereader | No | 544.44 |
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