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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | No | 322.58 | $0.620 | $150 | -$50 |
 Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by October 31?No | buy | 5.77K | $0.017 | $100 | 2d ago |
 |
| No |
| 494.99 |
| $0.606 |
| $108.9 |
| -$191.1 |
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 188.68 | $0.530 | $70.75 | -$29.25 |
 Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31? | No | 561 | $0.178 | $56.1 | -$43.9 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | No | 1.01K | $0.099 | $46.67 | -$53.33 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 357.14 | $0.140 | $8.04 | -$41.96 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027? | Yes | 515.67 | $0.039 | $7.99 | -$12.01 |
| Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event? | No | 977.07 | $0.051 | $5.37 | -$44.63 |
| buy |
| 977.07 |
| $0.051 |
| $50 |
| 4d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.099 | $100 | 9d ago |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027?No | buy | 494.99 | $0.606 | $300 | 17d ago |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | 19d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.02K | $0.494 | $503.92 | 20d ago |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31 2027?Yes | buy | 515.67 | $0.039 | $20 | 23d ago |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?No | buy | 561 | $0.178 | $100 | 25d ago |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 163.77 | $0.813 | $133.19 | 27d ago |
 Will Shein's closing IPO market cap be at least 300B HKD?Yes | buy | 115.85 | $0.173 | $20 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | sell | 185.46 | $0.920 | $170.62 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 9?Yes | buy | 231.5 | $0.043 | $10 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?No | buy | 185.46 | $0.539 | $100 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Matiasheve by August 31?No | buy | 968.81 | $0.010 | $10 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.12K | $0.089 | $100 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.098 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30?No | buy | 465.6 | $0.043 | $20 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 163.77 | $0.611 | $100 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.037 | $50 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?No | buy | 4.81K | $0.021 | $100 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 447.88 | $0.817 | $365.77 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Circle Internet Group (CRCL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 4K | $0.070 | $281.26 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 488.85 | $0.123 | $60 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?No | buy | 200 | $0.250 | $50 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 672 | $0.106 | $71.23 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 355 | $0.105 | $37.28 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | sell | 150.97 | $0.930 | $140.4 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 103.09 | $0.485 | $50 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 357.14 | $0.140 | $50 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 12?Yes | buy | 54.24 | $0.074 | $4 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will CXMT IPO by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 84.72 | $0.177 | $15 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | buy | 447.88 | $0.134 | $60 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Yes | buy | 103.81 | $0.289 | $30 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 6.02K | $0.083 | $500 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No | buy | 150.97 | $0.662 | $100 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | buy | 322.58 | $0.620 | $200 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?No | sell | 209.55 | $0.998 | $209.13 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?No | buy | 209.56 | $0.573 | $120 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 395.49 | $0.025 | $10 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.070 | $20 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No | sell | 246.37 | $0.520 | $128.11 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes | buy | 1.22K | $0.041 | $50 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.240 | $34.28 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.380 | $47.5 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?Yes | buy | 909.09 | $0.110 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in June?No | buy | 230.77 | $0.130 | $30 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.210 | $30 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 164.25 | $0.609 | $100 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.39K | $0.014 | $20 | Jun 13, 2026 |