Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.7K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 2, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 42% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 1 May 2026 to 2 Jun 2026, the highest close was 42% on 1 May 2026 and the lowest 0.7% on 2 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 29% on 2 May 2026. $2.66K traded over the market's life.

20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 9:04 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 1 May 2026 – 2 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
1 May 2026	42.0%
2 Jun 2026	0.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Slushy-Parrot	Yes	189.96
Wry-Fluke	Yes	100
Colala	Yes	30
niglette	Yes	20.64

10 of 20 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

On March 5, 2026, the U.S. Department of Defense (Pentagon) formally designated Anthropic as a supply chain risk to national security, effectively barring the Department of Defense and its contractors from collaborating with Anthropic. You can read more about that here: https://www.reuters.com/technology/pentagon-informed-anthropic-it-is-supply-chain-risk-official-says-2026-03-05/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if the designation is officially rescinded, withdrawn, or nullified by a competent authority by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The designation may be removed through executive reversal, agency reversal, or a final court ruling. Executive actions or guidance that merely bypass the designation, allowing U.S. agencies to continue using Anthropic’s AI despite the supply chain risk label, will not qualify. Court rulings that strike down or invalidate the designation as unlawful will qualify. Court orders that only temporarily block, stay, or enjoin the designation will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.