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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.519 | $838.69 | +$8.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes | buy | 321.8 | $0.155 | $50 | 7d ago |
|
| No |
| 408 |
| $0.490 |
| $283.56 |
| +$83.56 |
 Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | No | 370.37 | $0.810 | $281.48 | -$18.52 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 1.29K | $0.078 | $250.19 | +$150.19 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | 338.98 | $0.590 | $196.61 | -$3.39 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | 321.8 | $0.155 | $24.14 | -$25.86 |
 Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections? | No | 462.87 | $0.065 | $21.06 | -$8.94 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo? | Yes | 233.24 | $0.214 | $19.24 | -$30.76 |
 Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | No | 73.16 | $0.533 | $16.46 | -$22.54 |
 Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 433.24 | $0.023 | $3.68 | -$6.32 |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | No | 113.33 | $0.176 | $3.63 | -$16.37 |
| buy |
| 233.24 |
| $0.214 |
| $50 |
| 7d ago |
| Will Romeu Zema finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 433.24 | $0.023 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?No | buy | 306.62 | $0.065 | $20 | 9d ago |
| Will Yegor Kovalchuk win the 2026 Bryansk Oblast gubernatorial elections?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.064 | $10 | 9d ago |
 Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | sell | 898.71 | $0.113 | $101.13 | 9d ago |
 Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Yes | sell | 161.29 | $0.067 | $10.88 | 9d ago |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?Yes | sell | 844.93 | $0.070 | $59.15 | 9d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 15.99 | $0.563 | $9 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?No | buy | 113.33 | $0.176 | $20 | 18d ago |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 139.72 | $0.133 | $18.59 | 18d ago |
 Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 98.64 | $0.068 | $6.66 | 18d ago |
| Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 57.17 | $0.525 | $30 | 18d ago |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | 18d ago |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 98.64 | $0.507 | $50 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 714.28 | $0.083 | $59.13 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 123.46 | $0.810 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.078 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?No | buy | 169.49 | $0.590 | $100 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?No | buy | 246.91 | $0.810 | $200 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?Yes | buy | 1.77K | $0.006 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?No | buy | 111.78 | $0.447 | $50 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.030 | $50 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?Yes | buy | 898.72 | $0.334 | $300 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 461.54 | $0.650 | $300 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 677.97 | $0.929 | $630.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?Yes | sell | 315.78 | $0.993 | $313.57 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 714.29 | $0.070 | $50 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 139.73 | $0.358 | $50 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.060 | $10 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.500 | $50 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 275.46 | $0.002 | $0.55 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No | sell | 334.21 | $0.986 | $329.45 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 267.74 | $0.020 | $5.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 434.78 | $0.216 | $93.91 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 739.49 | $0.180 | $133.11 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsNo | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jul 5, 2026 |
 Will Neymar Jr.'s national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 209.25 | $0.239 | $50 | Jul 4, 2026 |
 Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5Over | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Ghana | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Cabo Verde | buy | 8.57 | $0.350 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Australia vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceEgypt | buy | 11.67 | $0.600 | $7 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jul 3, 2026 |