Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 36% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 31 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 36% on 2 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.8% on 31 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 14% on 3 Oct 2025. $25.54K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 3:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 31 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2025 | 36.0% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.96K |
| the-realist | Yes | 1.83K |
| KimchiCognac | Yes | 968.6 |
| JFKunst | Yes | 739.57 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between October 1, 2:00 PM ET, and October 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-sp-500-company-buys-bitcoin-by-october-31
| memloop | Yes | 415.79 |
| YuntyMcYuntFace | Yes | 268.74 |
| hieth | Yes | 261.77 |
| MadSl1m | Yes | 191.18 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 138 |
| Machiavellian | Yes | 130.23 |
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