Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 51% on 3 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 56.5% on 4 Jul 2025 and the low 1.7% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 25.5% on 18 Sep 2025. $4.81K traded over the market's life.
32 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 4, 3:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 91 points · 3 Jul 2025 – 1 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2025 | 51.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| buyhighsellLower | Yes | 159.17 |
| ethankim | Yes | 136.65 |
| tyl88 | Yes | 96.49 |
| Droopy-Chrysalis | Yes | 94.75 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between July 2, 14:00 ET and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-sp-500-company-buys-bitcoin-before-september
| noninoggnoa | Yes | 86.21 |
| Lopsided-Appellation | Yes | 56.11 |
| Radek1993 | Yes | 51.08 |
| lamascara | Yes | 40 |
| Bovo | Yes | 33.7 |
| luigifercote | Yes | 26.32 |
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