Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.3%. Yes opened at 4.5% on 26 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 72 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2024 to 5 Sep 2024, the highest close was 65% on 17 Jul 2024 and the lowest 4% on 27 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 56% on 6 Jul 2024. $43.99K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 6, 3:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 72 points, 26 Jun 2024 – 5 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2024 | 4.5% |
| 5 Sep 2024 | 6.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.88K |
| d3rvtv | Yes | 833.41 |
| Emerald Harbor F255 | Yes | 442.12 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if another candidate from the New Popular Front coalition (NFP, Nouveau Front populaire) other than Jean-Luc Melenchon, Francois Ruffin, Manuel Bompard, Valérie Rabault or Laurent Berger is officially appointed as the Prime Minister of France following the next legislative elections scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim or acting prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no prime minister is appointed by December 31, 2024, this market will also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French government, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-french-prime-minister
| Yes |
| 354.74 |
| Gaboss | Yes | 230.31 |
| alekso | Yes | 151.28 |
| nji | Yes | 103.55 |
| Kharp | Yes | 40 |
| mike-finn92 | Yes | 39.71 |
| YoelRey | Yes | 35 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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