Analytics
Resolved Yes on 27 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 91%. Yes opened at 73% on 18 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 91% on 27 Aug 2026 and the low 68% on 20 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 84% on 21 Aug 2026. $3.67K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 10 points · 18 Aug 2026 – 27 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2026 | 73.0% |
| 27 Aug 2026 | 91.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | No | 553.96 |
| Bodytobody | No | 205 |
| Attached-Prairie | No | 100 |
| GuyFromTinder | No | 97.5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution. This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved. The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-frontier-math-problem-solved-byptptpt-20260817131147478
| Geyboi2 | No | 65 |
| PPMT | No | 60 |
| UTILIZADOR2 | No | 50 |
| Better-Browsing | No | 50 |
| menthe2 | No | 50 |
| before2027 | No | 21.49 |
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