Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 11 Dec 2025. Before it settled, the high was 51.5% on 11 Dec 2025 and the low 0.4% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 27% on 12 Dec 2025. $60.58K traded over the market's life.
75 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 188 points, 11 Dec 2025 – 1 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | 51.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ks1992 | Yes | 1.55K |
| Eatpraylove | Yes | 1.35K |
| TheWolfOfPolyVerifiedVerified Polymarket profile | Yes | 132.89 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between December 10, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-elon-baby-by-june-30
| Thorough-Dirndl |
| Yes |
| 120 |
| HenriB | Yes | 102.86 |
| BrianJames3573 | No | 66.09 |
| Crushing-Everyone | Yes | 65.31 |
| Ill-Mythology | Yes | 54.05 |
| Cosmic Sphinx 8353 | Yes | 53.15 |
| EconG | Yes | 40.04 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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