Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 33% on 12 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 12 Jun 2026 to 3 Jul 2026, the highest close was 33% on 12 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.2% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6.5 points down, to 19% on 20 Jun 2026. $8.07K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 12 Jun 2026 – 3 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 33.0% |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Weak-Embellishment | Yes | 166.97 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| S888 | Yes | 49.99 |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 48.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered. Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe. An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections. Revisions that upgrade an incident’s impact classification to Critical will qualify if the incident was resolved and the revision is published within this market’s timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Cloudflare (for example, on cloudflarestatus.com or cloudflarestatus.com/history); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-critical-cloudflare-incident-by-123
| Lavincey | Yes | 43.09 |
| dropmeplease | Yes | 33.15 |
| PPMT | Yes | 31.02 |
| fabulouslymystified483 | Yes | 28.36 |
| PolyEGG | Yes | 22.41 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 13.97 |
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