Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.8%. Yes opened at 95.1% on 1 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 99.8% on 23 Feb 2026 and the low 74.9% on 20 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 99.8% on 23 Feb 2026. $137.88K traded over the market's life.
99 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 25, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 1 Jan 2026 – 23 Feb 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jan 2026 | 95.1% |
| 23 Feb 2026 | 99.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| LukeDelta | No | 2K |
| surskity | No | 834.82 |
| Reflecting-Hardhat | No | 772.73 |
| interboys | No | 572.17 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/another-7pt0-or-above-earthquake-by-555
| 0xcarpenter | No | 500 |
| Potable-Buddy | No | 437.11 |
| kamarat | No | 310 |
| Neil123 | No | 299.99 |
| Blushing-Facet | No | 293.3 |
| saedrnajia | No | 259 |
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