Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 28 Jul 2023. Before it settled, across the 158 daily closes on record from 28 Jul 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 4.5% on 25 Aug 2023 and the lowest 0.7% on 13 Dec 2023. $26.36K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 1, 8:32 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 158 points, 28 Jul 2023 – 1 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jul 2023 | 3.5% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 0.9% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a wide consensus of credible media asserts definitively that extraterrestrial life or technology has contacted any of the human race by December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/alien-contact-in-2023
| Yes |
| 927 |
| Nasty | Yes | 577.35 |
| Aliens_are_real | Yes | 526.32 |
| futureenjoyer | Yes | 263.16 |
| LinusFana3 | Yes | 116.46 |
| Cincinnatus-399 | Yes | 100 |
| Xvros | Yes | 10.2 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
