Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?

Name: Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18? — implied probability history
License: https://vultax.com/legal/terms

Resolved

No, settled Jan 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.9M

Resolved

Settled

Jan 19, 2026 UTC

Positions left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	427.97K	0.0%	$0
Conventional-Sail	Yes	94.82K	0.3%	$299.93	Jan 18, 9:42 PM UTC
mikesports	Yes	50K	22.0%	$11K
Axopar	Yes	36.99K	0.2%	$69.96	Jan 18, 9:47 PM UTC
LaBefana	Yes	31K	0.4%	$119.96	Jan 18, 10:59 PM UTC
Frivolous-Wrong	Yes	23.75K	0.4%	$99.98	Jan 18, 9:38 PM UTC
shinigami-eyes	Yes	17.5K	22.4%	$3.93K
Jaunty-Chemical	Yes	17.3K	0.4%	$67.04	Jan 18, 9:34 PM UTC
Shodowtrader	Yes	15.56K	0.1%	$19.99	Jan 18, 9:51 PM UTC
onehundredeyez	Yes	14.5K	0.1%	$14.99	Jan 18, 10:05 PM UTC
Plaintive-Physics	Yes	13.33K	0.3%	$40
Flush	Yes	12.92K	0.4%	$49.99	Jan 18, 9:41 PM UTC
Medium-Configuration	Yes	11.5K	0.2%	$23	Jan 18, 9:52 PM UTC
0x8dvd	Yes	11.31K	2.9%	$323.39	Jan 18, 9:58 PM UTC
Black-Media	Yes	10.1K	0.8%	$81.82	Jan 18, 9:32 PM UTC
lollypop325	Yes	10K	0.2%	$20	Jan 18, 10:05 PM UTC
Unripe-Worth	Yes	9.57K	0.4%	$34.16	Jan 18, 9:25 PM UTC
Lukhadow	Yes	8.41K	0.1%	$10.11	Jan 18, 10:16 PM UTC
freewinner	Yes	7.21K	0.4%	$29.99	Jan 18, 9:35 PM UTC
mousez	Yes	6.95K	0.2%	$13.89	Jan 18, 10:05 PM UTC
Emerald Signal 7F1C	Yes	5.55K	0.3%	$17.99	Jan 18, 9:37 PM UTC
Turbulent-Combat	Yes	5.43K	0.8%	$42.99	Jan 18, 9:44 PM UTC
cryptofog	Yes	5.33K	0.3%	$15	Jan 18, 9:41 PM UTC
Delirious-Grief	Yes	5.03K	0.5%	$27.05	Jan 18, 9:44 PM UTC
troveisajoke	Yes	4.58K	4.2%	$193.39
1919119	Yes	4.5K	21.3%	$957.98
Enormous-Sanctuary	Yes	4K	0.3%	$12	Jan 18, 9:44 PM UTC
PixelHispania	Yes	4K	0.1%	$4
0xhsulf	Yes	3.85K	0.5%	$20	Jan 18, 9:39 PM UTC
ArbitrageFund	Yes	3.85K	21.3%	$821.13
Compassionate-Quest	Yes	3.45K	0.3%	$10	Jan 18, 9:47 PM UTC
unwanted907	Yes	3.42K	2.9%	$100
Celsiuscx	Yes	3.42K	0.9%	$30.74	Jan 18, 9:29 PM UTC
Zimniner	Yes	3.28K	0.7%	$21.6
jizzbucket57	Yes	2.85K	22.0%	$627
Gullible-Inspiration	Yes	2.5K	0.2%	$5	Jan 18, 9:55 PM UTC
legeon	Yes	2.27K	0.4%	$10	Jan 18, 9:43 PM UTC
Cannae	Yes	2.25K	14.1%	$315.83
Circular-State	Yes	2.06K	24.2%	$500
Sanco	Yes	2K	1.0%	$20	Jan 18, 9:31 PM UTC
scrollerman	Yes	1.99K	0.3%	$6
Riskyrex	Yes	1.94K	13.0%	$251.94
Starchy-Tofu	Yes	1.93K	0.4%	$7.53
kolyantrend	Yes	1.78K	1.2%	$22.22
tackyv	Yes	1.51K	0.9%	$13
Narcomarine6	Yes	1.51K	0.2%	$2.5	Jan 18, 9:33 PM UTC
pimpinaintEZ	Yes	1.5K	0.1%	$2	Jan 18, 10:11 PM UTC
Haabiis	Yes	1.43K	0.7%	$10	Jan 18, 9:25 PM UTC
ESSS43	Yes	1.43K	21.0%	$300
anakhash	Yes	1.33K	0.2%	$3	Jan 18, 9:36 PM UTC
GolucjkyFubar	Yes	1.33K	0.2%	$2.3	Jan 18, 9:34 PM UTC
Studious-Hobbit	Yes	1.3K	11.8%	$153.87
Sympathetic-Edger	Yes	1.29K	22.0%	$283.98
Amazing-Hovel	Yes	1.25K	22.0%	$275
cryhel	Yes	1.25K	8.0%	$100
Ivory Voyager DDC4	Yes	1.2K	0.5%	$6	Jan 18, 9:32 PM UTC
Tangible-Seafood	Yes	1.13K	0.4%	$4
thiagoribeiro	Yes	1.08K	2.8%	$30
flexbit	Yes	1.06K	1.5%	$16
Hanadh	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1	Jan 18, 9:57 PM UTC
Ignacioconde.	Yes	1K	0.2%	$2	Jan 18, 9:54 PM UTC
hxctic	Yes	1K	0.1%	$1
Royal Pulse 1407	Yes	1K	0.4%	$4	Jan 18, 9:38 PM UTC
loupnoir	Yes	980.41	3.8%	$37.07	Jan 18, 9:27 PM UTC
Occidentaliste	Yes	973.23	22.0%	$214.11
Extra-Small-Pride	Yes	925.84	11.9%	$110
Michaelpieuw	Yes	918.3	19.6%	$179.81
alexbazel	Yes	887.1	19.3%	$171.17
Private-Tornado	Yes	770	0.3%	$2	Jan 18, 9:45 PM UTC
AriRothschild	Yes	727.27	22.0%	$160
gigimicXsdkjeSdskjja	Yes	642.18	0.8%	$5.14	Jan 18, 9:29 PM UTC
Bxrn	Yes	620.75	0.8%	$5	Jan 18, 9:28 PM UTC
Familiar-Object	Yes	614.64	25.8%	$158.5
Idolized-Article	Yes	565.66	21.2%	$120
jcpcol	Yes	557.29	17.6%	$98
higurashi7	Yes	540	0.2%	$1.08	Jan 18, 9:55 PM UTC
yssn	Yes	518.18	1.0%	$5	Jan 18, 9:54 PM UTC
GiNArima	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	Jan 18, 9:50 PM UTC
Puny-Core	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	Jan 18, 9:57 PM UTC
Perky-Irrigation	Yes	500	0.6%	$3
First-Honeydew	Yes	500	2.0%	$10
Apprehensive-Discretion	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	Jan 18, 9:41 PM UTC
sbgmbling	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	Jan 18, 9:53 PM UTC
Dishonest-Campus	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	Jan 18, 9:57 PM UTC
Creative-Replacement	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	Jan 18, 10:06 PM UTC
peludo	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	Jan 18, 9:37 PM UTC
Ronivon	Yes	500	0.2%	$1	Jan 18, 10:05 PM UTC
aghiles22	Yes	468.18	22.0%	$103
Thereisonly1	Yes	464.29	0.8%	$3.5	Jan 18, 9:32 PM UTC
Cl053	Yes	463.73	22.0%	$102.02
shadeform	Yes	434.78	23.0%	$100
Misty Sphinx CC12	Yes	400	25.0%	$100
adu03	Yes	400	25.0%	$100
kggfabius	Yes	400	5.0%	$20
15272	Yes	400	25.0%	$100
Jg2312	Yes	365.07	25.1%	$91.46
Obedient-Surround	Yes	360.2	5.4%	$19.55
Scornful-Stand	Yes	340.91	22.0%	$75
Golden Comet BFC4	Yes	333.33	24.0%	$80
nzone	Yes	321	13.5%	$43.26
Brokeclient	Yes	320	0.8%	$2.48	Jan 18, 9:25 PM UTC
piratesinvest	Yes	309.09	22.0%	$68
ElGuruDelCrypto	Yes	302.33	3.3%	$10
Ample-Geranium	Yes	300	22.0%	$66
bediron	Yes	300	22.0%	$66
Substantial-Bladder	Yes	300	7.0%	$21
zeniab	Yes	277.78	1.8%	$5	Jan 18, 9:30 PM UTC
Punisher2022	Yes	276.86	9.3%	$25.73
porschetrade	Yes	272.73	22.0%	$60
Mad-Participant	Yes	258.57	23.9%	$61.7
MAGA222	Yes	250.42	3.1%	$7.71
Daring-Tribe	Yes	250	0.4%	$1	Jan 18, 9:37 PM UTC
godfather24	Yes	250	0.4%	$1	Jan 18, 9:37 PM UTC
Wealthy-Depth	Yes	250	0.8%	$2	Jan 18, 9:25 PM UTC
Slippery-Bracelet	Yes	237.62	21.0%	$49.9
Rempo4	Yes	233.52	12.7%	$29.71
blockracer	Yes	227.27	22.0%	$50
zeroprofits	Yes	227.27	22.0%	$50
xgogetax	Yes	227.14	22.0%	$49.97
Cobalt Tide 312D	Yes	221.33	0.0%	$0
Untomoney	Yes	220.95	22.2%	$49
malparidogambler	Yes	220	25.0%	$55
Ivory Ledger 63D3	Yes	217.76	1.8%	$4.05
Kukars	Yes	217.39	23.0%	$50
chrisguiii	Yes	217.39	23.0%	$50
ichiho	Yes	216.82	23.1%	$50
LOLINSIDER	Yes	214.29	7.0%	$15
BL3SS	Yes	211.54	26.0%	$55
Swl77	Yes	201.14	19.9%	$40
Cheap-Councilperson	Yes	200	0.5%	$1	Jan 18, 9:38 PM UTC
HA.ii	Yes	200	0.5%	$1	Jan 18, 9:33 PM UTC
ZebraGrunzen	Yes	200	4.9%	$9.8
Underdog-	Yes	200	25.0%	$50
Yearly-Beef	Yes	200	5.0%	$10
Cocomelon	Yes	183.14	21.0%	$38.46
Expensive-Charlatan	Yes	177.87	22.5%	$40
kyan4758	Yes	175	16.0%	$28
fede.	Yes	173.91	23.0%	$40
Solar Meteor 3B63	Yes	170.83	24.0%	$41
idkbruhgetgood	Yes	160.5	24.9%	$40
Dolma	Yes	159.99	11.1%	$17.8
Kreww	Yes	150	23.0%	$34.5
warfaa	Yes	150	10.0%	$15
Pastel-Group	Yes	148.37	24.3%	$36.05
Vaderispro	Yes	147.14	0.7%	$1	Jan 18, 9:32 PM UTC
Wealthy-Igloo	Yes	146.15	26.0%	$38
Mastershifo	Yes	145.66	21.4%	$31.12
Jorestevez	Yes	143	0.7%	$1
Roma10ZRM	Yes	138.5	24.0%	$33.24
Mettinho	Yes	137.43	4.4%	$6	Jan 18, 9:25 PM UTC
Trusting-Chip	Yes	135.8	5.4%	$7.35	Jan 18, 9:30 PM UTC
NonSumQualisEram	Yes	134.42	23.4%	$31.42
Curvy-Cinnamon	Yes	133.33	15.0%	$20
Energetic-Pelt	Yes	130.43	23.0%	$30
pros1000bn	Yes	127.27	22.0%	$28
Present-Forum	Yes	126.74	7.9%	$10
MiroyIvina	Yes	125	0.8%	$1	Jan 18, 9:28 PM UTC
drus9	Yes	125	0.8%	$1	Jan 18, 9:27 PM UTC
AlexKupino	Yes	120	2.5%	$3
ND01	Yes	120	25.0%	$30
Deiz	Yes	115.56	15.9%	$18.38
whitewolf7	Yes	111.11	0.9%	$1	Jan 18, 9:26 PM UTC
Billionsbtcs	Yes	111	14.5%	$16.09
Grand-Psychoanalyst	Yes	109.09	22.0%	$24
Failing-Canoe	Yes	107	11.0%	$11.77
Jolly-Ceramic	Yes	105.04	27.7%	$29.1
Unwitting-Winery	Yes	104.78	23.0%	$24.1
Swift-Equipment	Yes	104.55	22.0%	$23
Abeyrex	Yes	104.5	23.0%	$24.04
Kind-Pop	Yes	104.26	19.0%	$19.81
Wraasky	Yes	104.17	24.0%	$25
nigulasi	Yes	103.84	19.0%	$19.73
Paneletinho	Yes	102.91	22.1%	$22.76
FreeCityIndividual	Yes	100	23.0%	$23
Creative-Vine	Yes	100	8.2%	$8.2
0x19FD	Yes	100	22.0%	$22
Immense-Mattress	Yes	100	21.0%	$21
aweds200	Yes	100	1.0%	$1	Jan 18, 9:30 PM UTC
Silverhand	Yes	100	24.0%	$24
rasbihan1	Yes	100	1.0%	$1
Granular-Combat	Yes	99.77	20.5%	$20.49
Flof	Yes	97.83	21.0%	$20.54
Moatassim69	Yes	96.77	24.8%	$23.97
lagoness	Yes	96.15	26.0%	$25
Weak-Coral	Yes	95.65	23.0%	$22
Dutiful-Halloween	Yes	95.24	21.0%	$20	Jan 18, 10:17 PM UTC
DictBjoendaal	Yes	94.67	21.7%	$20.58
Baljneibi	Yes	90.97	22.0%	$20
Lasting-Maelstrom	Yes	90.91	22.0%	$20
Chilly-Nondisclosure	Yes	86.96	23.0%	$20
BlackPhanter	Yes	85.71	21.0%	$18
Husky-Entirety	Yes	83.33	6.0%	$5
waterbelon	Yes	83.33	24.0%	$20
Zeljko05	Yes	80	25.0%	$20
itsclaubb	Yes	80	25.0%	$20
0xol0gos	Yes	80	23.1%	$18.5
ababiluk	Yes	80	25.0%	$20
ohyes	Yes	79.59	25.0%	$19.9
ogsliwa	Yes	70.45	5.7%	$4
jiushiganpro	Yes	69.32	8.0%	$5.55
upxbt	Yes	69.23	13.0%	$9
baugusto	Yes	67.39	22.3%	$15
Leafy-Dame	Yes	65.22	23.0%	$15
spab1536	Yes	65.22	23.0%	$15
RiskMaxxer67	Yes	65.22	23.0%	$15
Beloved-Money	Yes	64.3	23.0%	$14.79
LeviBoo	Yes	62.5	12.0%	$7.5
M3hmet	Yes	61.9	21.0%	$13
CoCa2026	Yes	57.69	26.0%	$15
Hoilamchy	Yes	57.43	23.0%	$13.21
Predictfalshe	Yes	56.95	3.5%	$2
ddddponn	Yes	55.56	1.8%	$1	Jan 18, 9:30 PM UTC
jeeeez	Yes	55.12	25.0%	$13.78
Suiryc	Yes	50	23.0%	$11.5
KadCoin	Yes	50	22.2%	$11.1
timur1144	Yes	50	2.0%	$1
GAMS777	Yes	50	10.0%	$5
ilhan6262	Yes	50	2.0%	$1
Advokado	Yes	50	25.0%	$12.5
Grubby-Wedge	Yes	50	8.0%	$4
Mikemuller	Yes	49.97	23.0%	$11.49
Arthuritoo	Yes	47.62	21.0%	$10
brons	Yes	47.62	21.0%	$10
Wicked-Base	Yes	45.83	4.4%	$2
ramba2	Yes	45.45	22.0%	$10
Neon Voyager 0128	Yes	45.45	22.0%	$10
taylorerushe	Yes	45.45	22.0%	$10
randomguy696	Yes	44	25.0%	$11
Shoddy-Flanker	Yes	44	25.0%	$11
Barend1993	Yes	44	22.0%	$9.68
solus20	Yes	43.58	24.0%	$10.46
kavallier	Yes	43.48	23.0%	$10
PHOXBT	Yes	43.48	23.0%	$10
CryptoClown85	Yes	43.48	23.0%	$10
Vicious-Heaven	Yes	43.48	23.0%	$10
sadousow	Yes	41.67	24.0%	$10
onlytest	Yes	41.67	24.0%	$10
Demanding-Initialise	Yes	41.67	24.0%	$10
TheRiskManager	Yes	41.67	24.0%	$10
Impressive-Diction	Yes	40	3.0%	$1.2
Osro2	Yes	40	25.0%	$10
Fake-Exhusband	Yes	40	25.0%	$10
Jumpy-Rim	Yes	39.96	25.0%	$9.99
MartyMcFox	Yes	39.25	11.5%	$4.51
frankenstine	Yes	38.46	26.0%	$10
Busy-Mangrove	Yes	38.46	26.0%	$10
Koorgar	Yes	37.03	27.0%	$10
spycyy	Yes	37	20.7%	$7.66
EdBNF	Yes	35.71	14.0%	$5
Kungfumaso	Yes	33.33	24.0%	$8
Costly-Region	Yes	33.33	21.0%	$7
mickeyB	Yes	32.46	3.5%	$1.14
JoseMourinho1	Yes	32	10.0%	$3.2
DTX92k	Yes	30.77	13.0%	$4
doubook	Yes	30.77	26.0%	$8
Kingofbricks	Yes	30	17.0%	$5.1
Wrong-Likelihood	Yes	30	22.0%	$6.6
minticetea	Yes	29.15	26.0%	$7.58
FanatikCientist	Yes	27.96	25.0%	$6.99
JunMisugi84	Yes	27.78	18.0%	$5
Anfoid600	Yes	25.93	27.0%	$7
danielillo0077	Yes	25.42	11.8%	$3
Smug-Sunday	Yes	25	4.0%	$1
jiuhiuhu	Yes	24.97	13.0%	$3.25
una1emery	Yes	24.88	20.1%	$5
Slow-Representative	Yes	24	25.0%	$6
Asaad0024	Yes	23.81	21.0%	$5
azuros	Yes	23.81	21.0%	$5
alexking786	Yes	23.81	21.0%	$5
jorgesillo	Yes	23.81	21.0%	$5
jacgo	Yes	23.76	21.0%	$4.99
SonyB	Yes	22.73	22.0%	$5
Afriman	Yes	21.74	23.0%	$5
char666	Yes	21.43	23.0%	$4.93
delMar	Yes	20.92	14.6%	$3.06
Waelth	Yes	20.43	21.0%	$4.29
Weary-Evidence	Yes	20	25.0%	$5
Anoallesgoed	Yes	20	27.0%	$5.4
Vague-Report	Yes	20	23.0%	$4.6
2OOOO	Yes	20	25.0%	$5
Deluxe09	Yes	20	6.0%	$1.2
Zany-University	Yes	19.23	26.0%	$5
enya2025	Yes	18.52	27.0%	$5
secoto	Yes	18.43	21.0%	$3.87
Biffin	Yes	18.18	22.0%	$4
Wicked-Fanlight	Yes	16.67	6.0%	$1
Mou41	Yes	16.67	6.0%	$1
Adityashivang	Yes	16	24.0%	$3.84
Detailed-Exam	Yes	16	25.0%	$4
amulet	Yes	15.38	13.0%	$2
Mithra	Yes	15	23.0%	$3.45
triklozoid	Yes	14.99	0.1%	$0.01
0xtobi	Yes	14.29	21.0%	$3
Shrmurda	Yes	14.29	21.0%	$3
BuildON	Yes	14.29	21.0%	$3
Lasting-Lye	Yes	13.04	23.0%	$3
yeye17	Yes	12.5	8.0%	$1
amsophy	Yes	12.5	24.0%	$3
toptopgg	Yes	12	25.0%	$3
Storium	Yes	11.11	18.0%	$2
maxgarnick	Yes	10	21.0%	$2.1
Schubert7	Yes	10	21.0%	$2.1
Asfourali	Yes	10	23.0%	$2.3
melexxa	Yes	10	25.0%	$2.5
OneSpartan	Yes	10	25.0%	$2.5
Efinix	Yes	10	22.0%	$2.2
Asgardec	Yes	10	21.0%	$2.1
Cosmic Scout F4CD	Yes	10	21.0%	$2.1
Violet Summit 32DE	Yes	9.52	21.0%	$2
Apprehensive-Tortoise	Yes	9.52	21.0%	$2
Ringed-Corner	Yes	9.52	21.0%	$2
gsjt	Yes	9.29	14.0%	$1.3
Keen Beacon A1BF	Yes	9.09	22.0%	$2
Illustrious-Influx	Yes	9.09	22.0%	$2
hiuman	Yes	8.7	23.0%	$2
Aveen	Yes	8.36	25.0%	$2.09
siam.	Yes	8.33	24.0%	$2
scorpionic	Yes	8.33	24.0%	$2
gambitmove	Yes	8.33	24.0%	$2
xxojjxx	Yes	8	25.0%	$2
Kalmiprem	Yes	8	25.0%	$2
big.b	Yes	7.59	26.3%	$2
calebwaba	Yes	7.41	27.0%	$2
Zemiurg	Yes	7.41	27.0%	$2
A3T8	Yes	7	21.0%	$1.47
Intrepid-Disaster	Yes	6.64	25.0%	$1.66
SergioV14	Yes	6.59	22.0%	$1.45
Required-Psychiatrist	Yes	6.52	23.0%	$1.5
megagambli	Yes	6.29	24.0%	$1.51
AbsoluteG	Yes	5.88	17.0%	$1
Shrike1	Yes	5.77	26.0%	$1.5
yuyeon	Yes	5.56	18.0%	$1
Rrr4567	Yes	5	10.0%	$0.5
Abayommy	Yes	5	23.0%	$1.15
Watchful-Blight	Yes	5	22.0%	$1.1
gustoper	Yes	5	24.0%	$1.2
splyt	Yes	4.76	21.0%	$1
ah9757	Yes	4.76	21.0%	$1
77marketarg	Yes	4.76	21.0%	$1
Appropriate-Princess	Yes	4.76	21.0%	$1
Fatherly-Gasp	Yes	4.55	22.0%	$1
Gummy-Textbook	Yes	4.55	22.0%	$1
Substantial-Dimple	Yes	4.55	22.0%	$1
Understated-Spy	Yes	4.35	23.0%	$1
youraveragejeet	Yes	4.35	23.0%	$1
0xpi	Yes	4.35	23.0%	$1
suft	Yes	4.32	25.0%	$1.08
Whitey-xyz	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$1
Francidaquels	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$1
Interesting-Laugh	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$1
random4124	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$1
Onisnake	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$1
mariari	Yes	4.17	24.0%	$1
Lanky-Omega	Yes	4	25.0%	$1
mak55555	Yes	4	25.0%	$1
kedei89	Yes	4	25.0%	$1
martindg60	Yes	4	25.0%	$1
3cccccccc	Yes	4	25.0%	$1	Jan 18, 10:18 PM UTC
mank1981	Yes	4	25.0%	$1
WxWU	Yes	3.8	5.9%	$0.23
Crisp-Puritan	Yes	3.7	27.0%	$1
amiskizosensei	Yes	3.7	27.0%	$1
Fat-Sea	Yes	1.73	22.0%	$0.38
BoughtTheTop	Yes	1.25	12.0%	$0.15
Both-Trunk	No	0.8	50.0%	$0.4
Both-Trunk	Yes	0.8	50.0%	$0.4
Pereirinha	Yes	0.11	1.0%	$0	Jan 18, 9:37 PM UTC

367 of 367 positions.

Holders by valueThe same holders, ranked by what their position is worth now.

Trader	Holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$427.97K
johnyu	$0.03
Lunar Falcon 597E	$0.02

Analytics