Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 64.52 | $0.310 | $15.71 | -$4.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 128.2 | $0.790 | $101.28 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 30.06 |
| $0.166 |
| $13.93 |
| +$8.93 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 294.12 | $0.170 | $9.85 | -$40.15 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 214.29 | $0.140 | $8.25 | -$21.75 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 105.26 | $0.190 | $8.16 | -$11.84 |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 384.62 | $0.013 | $2.5 | -$2.5 |
 Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 31.95 | $0.313 | $2.09 | -$7.91 |
 Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 125 | $0.008 | $0.31 | -$0.69 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.180 | $0.06 | -$19.94 |
| buy |
| 67.57 |
| $0.740 |
| $50 |
| Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Ricky Martin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "NUEVAYOL" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes | buy | 35.86 | $0.139 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.180 | $12.86 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.018 | $8 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-03?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 88.1 | $0.568 | $50 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Nets vs. JazzJazz | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Cavaliers vs. SunsSuns | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Clippers vs. NuggetsClippers | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Raptors vs. MagicRaptors | buy | 14.05 | $0.520 | $7.31 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-30?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.995 | $49.75 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 32.78 | $0.999 | $32.75 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.001 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?Yes | buy | 31.95 | $0.313 | $10 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 86.45 | $0.960 | $82.99 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.730 | $50 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.380 | $20 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.450 | $50 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Clippers vs. RaptorsClippers | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 48.25 | $0.207 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?Yes | buy | 39.22 | $0.510 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-16?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-16?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.760 | $20 | Jan 16, 2026 |
 Lightning vs. BluesLightning | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Timberwolves vs. RocketsTimberwolves | buy | 12.82 | $0.390 | $5 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Clippers vs. RaptorsRaptors | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-15?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.77 | $0.570 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.260 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.150 | $3.95 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 124.98 | $0.076 | $9.55 | Jan 12, 2026 |