Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.6%. Yes opened at 55% on 11 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 125 daily closes on record from 11 Apr 2024 to 13 Aug 2024, the highest close was 97.3% on 18 Jul 2024 and the lowest 55% on 11 Apr 2024. Its largest one-day move was 39 points up, to 94.5% on 12 Apr 2024. $110.88K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 14, 2:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 11 Apr 2024 – 13 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2024 | 55.0% |
| 13 Aug 2024 | 96.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any law or measure regulating abortion is on the ballot for the Arizona elections on November 5, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it is definitively determined a law or measure regulating abortion will be on the stated election's ballot, this market may immediately resolve to "Yes". Likewise, if it is definitively determined such a law or measure will not be on that election's ballot, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Arizona, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/abortion-on-the-2024-ballot-in-arizona
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