A$AP Rocky sentenced to prison?

Resolved

No, settled Feb 23, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$27.3K

Resolved

Settled

Feb 23, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 23 Feb 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 64.5% on 28 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2025 to 23 Feb 2025, the highest close was 67.5% on 10 Feb 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 23 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 0.4% on 20 Feb 2025. $27.29K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Feb 24, 3:35 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 28 Jan 2025 – 23 Feb 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Jan 2025	64.5%
23 Feb 2025	0.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
digital	Yes	269.11
Thoughtsfornow	No	16.13
NIcks	Yes	1.49
laozijuexinnitian	Yes	1.25

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

A$AP Rocky's trial for allegedly shooting a former friend has begun. The 36-year-old rapper is charged with two felony counts of assault with a semiautomatic firearm (see: https://www.usatoday.com/story/entertainment/celebrities/2025/01/19/asap-rocky-trial-felony-assault-what-to-know/77805179007/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rakim Mayers (A$AP Rocky) is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for convictions in the case "People of the State of California v. Rakim Mayers". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no sentence is rendered by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or if sentencing is definitively cancelled or postponed beyond that date, this market will resolve to "No". If A$AP Rocky's ongoing trial ends (e.g. mistrial) without a prison sentence, this market will immediately resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based on the initial sentencing rendered in this case, regardless of any subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yR5gCEQ6uB0