Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 7 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 8% on 8 Feb 2025 and the low 0.3% on 15 Feb 2025. $41.86K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 16, 3:12 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 9 points · 7 Feb 2025 – 15 Feb 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2025 | 7.5% |
| 15 Feb 2025 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| slbzyou | Yes | 395.63 |
| nnikospapadakis | Yes | 122.42 |
| 0xswampperson | Yes | 35 |
| HighAgency | Yes | 19.73 |
| assyrian | Yes | 11.11 |
| smoltrader | No | 0.02 |
| testeman | No | 0.02 |
| gromozeka-908 | No | 0.01 |
| neverfeesplease | No | 0.01 |
| homosexual | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.0 or higher occur within the mediterranean region between February 6 and February 14, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. The "mediterranean region" is defined as anywhere within the area of the Mediterranean Sea, or in a country that borders it. The Mediterranean Sea refers to the entire body of water commonly known as the Mediterranean, including all of its marginal seas (e.g. the Ionian Sea, Adriatic Sea, Aegean Sea, etc.). The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS), https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/map. If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until March 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/6pt0-earthquake-in-mediterranean-by-next-friday
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