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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.110 | $3.3 | Jul 14, 2025 |
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| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.256 |
| $12.8 |
| Jul 14, 2025 |
Steak 'n Shake accepts Bitcoin before July?Yes | sell | 24.62 | $0.026 | $0.63 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Daniel Noboa win by 8% or more?No | buy | 80 | $0.500 | $40 | Apr 13, 2025 |
Will Jimmy Patronis win by 20-25%?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Apr 10, 2025 |
Will Karoline Leavitt say "Zelensky" 3+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.660 | $1.32 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will the Department of the Treasury be most efficient on March 31?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.040 | $1.6 | Mar 7, 2025 |
Will Brian Armstrong attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?No | sell | 36.2 | $0.011 | $0.4 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Michael Saylor attend the March 7 Crypto Summit?No | sell | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will the next Pope be from Africa?No | sell | 30 | $0.940 | $28.2 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Michigan State win the Big Ten conference tournament?No | sell | 3.63 | $0.500 | $1.82 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "Coin" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?No | sell | 17.81 | $0.600 | $10.69 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump say "China" during Crypto Summit on Friday?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.316 | $15.8 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.560 | $11.19 | Mar 5, 2025 |
Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?No | sell | 10 | $0.017 | $0.17 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | sell | 0.75 | $0.320 | $0.24 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 3.31 | $0.590 | $1.95 | Mar 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'Greenland' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 0.75 | $0.290 | $0.22 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'Canada' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | sell | 88.28 | $0.210 | $18.54 | Mar 3, 2025 |
Will the next Pope be from Europe?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.300 | $9 | Feb 25, 2025 |
BSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election?No | buy | 15 | $0.981 | $14.72 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.690 | $20.7 | Feb 24, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 21?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.021 | $0.41 | Feb 22, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 20?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.001 | $0.04 | Feb 22, 2025 |
Will Karoline Leavitt say DOGE/Department of Government Efficiency during next White House press briefing?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.090 | $1.8 | Feb 20, 2025 |
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.882 | $17.64 | Feb 20, 2025 |
Will Trump sanction Russia before March?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.029 | $7.25 | Feb 20, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 17?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Feb 18, 2025 |
Will Karoline Leavitt say Egypt during next White House press briefing?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?No | buy | 20 | $0.490 | $9.8 | Feb 15, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will Trump say "woke" during his Thursday press conference?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Zelensky" during his Thursday press conference?No | sell | 20 | $0.002 | $0.04 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will Trump say "genius" during his Thursday press conference?No | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Putin" during his Thursday press conference?No | sell | 20 | $0.010 | $0.2 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Is Markiplier engaged?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Feb 13, 2025 |
Will Luisa González win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.180 | $16.2 | Feb 10, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?Yes | sell | 64.99 | $0.993 | $64.54 | Feb 7, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on February 4?Yes | sell | 35.01 | $0.994 | $34.8 | Feb 7, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 1?No | buy | 55 | $0.999 | $54.95 | Feb 5, 2025 |
Trump pulls US from UN Human Rights Council in February?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | Feb 3, 2025 |
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 43-44°F on February 3?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.300 | $7.5 | Feb 3, 2025 |
Will Karoline Leavitt say good afternoon in her next press briefing?No | sell | 80 | $0.160 | $12.8 | Feb 3, 2025 |
Will America be profitable any month in 2025?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Feb 3, 2025 |
Will the EU impose tariffs on the U.S. before May?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.690 | $13.8 | Feb 3, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 13?No | sell | 10 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Feb 2, 2025 |
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | sell | 36 | $0.010 | $0.36 | Feb 1, 2025 |
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?No | buy | 10 | $0.730 | $7.3 | Feb 1, 2025 |
Will Trump issue an executive order on Day 11?No | buy | 540.73 | $0.980 | $529.92 | Jan 31, 2025 |