Analytics
Yes is at 3.5%, down 12 points from 15% when the market opened on 14 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026, the highest close was 49.6% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3.1% on 18 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 47.7%. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 3.1% on 18 Oct 2026.
It is one of 15 markets under “2027 NBA Draft: 1st Overall Pick”.
$73.99 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $191.2, with a 4.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is Violet Maven 063C with 20 shares; the largest No position is idonthaveanintro with 54.
Trading closes on 9 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 9:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 15.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 3.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| idonthaveanintro | No | 54 |
| Violet Maven 063C | Yes | 20 |
| bechamel | Yes | 20 |
This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first overall pick in the 2027 NBA Draft. If the player selected is not a listed player, the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". If the 2027 NBA Draft is cancelled, or the first overall selection is not definitively known by July 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each listed player's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2027 NBA Draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2027-nba-draft-1st-overall-pick
2 more markets, none above 4.0%.
| .Menthe |
| Yes |
| 13.99 |
| dognamedreggi | Yes | 5.8 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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