Analytics
Yes is at 1.5% on Polymarket.
It is one of 128 markets under “Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?”.
$3.27K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.34K since listing. The order book holds $33.64K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 72 trades, $31.55 bought Yes and $1.41K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Golden Beacon 67A6 with 591 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.7K. Ten wallets hold 94.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 3 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 2%–14%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 | 8.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.69K |
| Golden Beacon 67A6 | Yes | 591.03 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 336.46 |
This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-tossup-senate-states-will-republicans-win-ak-ia-ks-me-mi-oh-tx
116 more markets, none above 1.1%.
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 250 |
| Quiet Beacon C822 | Yes | 200 |
| needleladder | Yes | 84.61 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 52.98 |
| richyee | Yes | 49.99 |
| Raphdockdk | Yes | 26.32 |
| GingerMcKenna | No | 25.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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