Analytics
Resolved O 78.5 on 27 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had O 78.5 at 100%. The O 78.5 side opened at 50% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 100% on 27 Aug 2026 and the low 27.5% on 28 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 28% on 11 Mar 2026. $2.82K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 27, 12:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the O 78.5 price, Polymarket CLOB · 158 points · 4 Mar 2026 – 27 Aug 2026
| Observed | O 78.5 price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 27 Aug 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rx8549o867549 | U 78.5 | 2.33K |
| socksgreen3 | U 78.5 | 128.25 |
| Mojito9 | U 78.5 | 20.6 |
This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Tampa Bay Rays win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Tampa Bay Rays to record more than 78.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 78.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-regular-season-win-totals
New to prediction markets?
| U 78.5 |
| 15 |
| 52adsa | U 78.5 | 12.33 |
| the-hedgehog-2 | U 78.5 | 10 |
| gjvjgjvvjv | U 78.5 | 10 |
| caibubu | U 78.5 | 8.42 |
| Incompatible-Marmalade | U 78.5 | 1.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
