Analytics
Resolved O 74.5 on 16 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had O 74.5 at 97.7%. The O 74.5 side opened at 50% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 173 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 16 Sep 2026 (24 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.8% on 6 Aug 2026 and the lowest 26% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 26% on 11 Mar 2026. $24.27K traded over the market's life.
22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 17, 5:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the O 74.5 price, Polymarket CLOB, 173 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 16 Sep 2026
| Observed | O 74.5 price |
|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 16 Sep 2026 | 97.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TimeTraveler | U 74.5 | 206.84 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | U 74.5 | 65.12 |
| QuantHunter | U 74.5 | 36.08 |
This market will resolve to "O 74.5" if the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Miami Marlins to record more than 74.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 74.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-regular-season-win-totals
| ScottsRoad | U 74.5 | 33 |
| colorfultortise11 | U 74.5 | 27 |
| Rain-Prob-01 | U 74.5 | 16.66 |
| caibubu | U 74.5 | 7.21 |
| gjvjgjvvjv | U 74.5 | 5.16 |
| triklozoid | U 74.5 | 5 |
| 48xsds | O 74.5 | 3.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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