Will the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

sportsResolved

U 81.5, settled Sep 9, 2026 UTC

O 81.5

0.0%

U 81.5

100.0%

Final O 81.5 0¢Final U 81.5 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.4K

Resolved

U 81.5

Settled

Sep 9, 2026 UTC

Topic roomMLB

Where it stands

Resolved U 81.5 on 9 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had U 81.5 at 98.3%. The O 81.5 side opened at 50% on 4 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 168 daily closes on record from 4 Mar 2026 to 9 Sep 2026 (22 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 73% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 1.1% on 11 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points up, to 73% on 11 Mar 2026. $1.39K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Sep 10, 4:02 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the O 81.5 price, Polymarket CLOB, 168 points, 4 Mar 2026 – 9 Sep 2026

O 81.5 price, first and latest
Observed	O 81.5 price
4 Mar 2026	50.0%
9 Sep 2026	1.7%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Deafening-Possible	O 81.5	150
52adsa	O 81.5	106.93
TENETENET	O 81.5	100

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "O 81.5" if the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Kansas City Royals to record more than 81.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 81.5". If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.