Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 57.5%. Yes opened at 40% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 25 Feb 2026 to 12 Mar 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 44% on 8 Mar 2026 and the lowest 39.5% on 26 Feb 2026.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 16, 10:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 25 Feb 2026 – 12 Mar 2026, chart shows 35%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 40.0% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 42.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mdgc | Yes | 205 |
| wendypeekaboo | Yes | 100 |
| megadarkparticle | Yes | 49 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that is officially determined as the winner of the 2026 American conference championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 American conference championship per the rules of the American (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a conference champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-cbb-american-champion
| jjzzh | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5 |
| Unique-Index | Yes | 3.11 |
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