Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 54%. Yes opened at 36.5% on 25 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 46.5% on 26 Feb 2026 and the low 6.5% on 11 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points up, to 46% on 12 Mar 2026.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 12, 8:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 15 points · 25 Feb 2026 – 12 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Feb 2026 | 36.5% |
| 12 Mar 2026 | 46.0% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mdgc | Yes | 305 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 100 |
| xiaodouzi | Yes | 100 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 90 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the team that is officially determined as the winner of the 2026 A-10 conference championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the 2026 A-10 conference championship per the rules of the A-10 (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a conference champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the National Collegiate Athletic Association (https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/sports/basketball-men/d1
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-cbb-a-10-champion
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