Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 13 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 13 Oct 2026 to 20 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 13 Oct 2026 and the lowest 37.5% on 19 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 38% on 14 Oct 2026. $88.38 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 3:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 13 Oct 2026 – 20 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Cleveland Guardians score 30 or more runs in total across all games of the 2026 MLB Playoffs American League Championship Series between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only runs credited to the Cleveland Guardians in the official box score of each completed game count, including runs scored in extra innings. A game that is postponed or suspended counts once it has been completed. Official scoring changes announced by MLB within 24 hours of the end of the relevant game will be considered, but later changes will not. This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as the Cleveland Guardians reach 30 runs in the series. If the series is not completed by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, for any reason, including cancellation of the 2026 MLB Playoffs, this market will resolve based on the games of the series completed by that time: "Yes" if the Cleveland Guardians have scored 30 or more runs in those games, and otherwise "No". A game that has been suspended and not completed by that time will not count. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB, including official box scores; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-playoffs-rays-vs-guardians-team-total-runs
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