What is the “2025 August second hottest on record?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: 2025 August second hottest on record? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

How did this market resolve?

It resolved No on 11 Sep 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 shows the second greatest increase of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2025 August is higher than all but one previous data point, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 August is tied for second highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who still holds shares in this market?

20 public wallets still held shares when Vultax last looked. Winners usually redeem their shares after settlement, so the remaining holders are mostly on the losing side.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Sep 12, 4:36 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/2025-august-second-hottest-on-record) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Resolved No: 2025 August second hottest on record?

Market reference2025-august-second-hottest-on-recordUpdated Sep 12, 2025 UTC

Resolved

No · settled Sep 11, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$49.9K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 11, 2025 UTC

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Sep 12, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Sep 12, 2025 UTC

This closed market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Resolved

Order book

Captured book available

Final outcome

The resolved venue state is treated as proof of resolution; holder and trade rows are settlement context.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

96%

Yes / No shares

9.87K / 0

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

242

Wallets

181

Loaded notional

TradesRecent market trade tape linked back into trader pages.

Full tapeCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Trader	Side	Outcome	Price	Shares	Time
AgricultureSecretary	buy	No	99.9%	500	Sep 11, 3:01 PM UTC
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	buy	No

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “2025 August second hottest on record?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: 2025 August second hottest on record? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
How did this market resolve?: It resolved No on 11 Sep 2025. Trading has stopped; the record of prices, holders and trades stays on this page.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for August 2025 shows the second greatest increase of any prior August when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". At the point the data for August 2025 is first released, it will be compared to all previous data points for August, and if 2025 August is higher than all but one previous data point, this market will resolve to "Yes". Note: If 2025 August is tied for second highest with another year, it will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" - it must be higher. The primary…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: Volume is the dollar value of shares traded in a period, liquidity is the dollar value resting in the order book ready to be traded against, and open interest is the value of all shares currently held. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Analytics

Trader

Side

Outcome

Price

Time

AgricultureSecretary

buy

99.9%

500

Sep 11, 3:01 PM UTC

ArmageddonRewardsBilly

buy