Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.3%. Yes opened at 55.5% on 12 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 12 Jul 2024 to 20 Jul 2024, the highest close was 55.5% on 12 Jul 2024 and the lowest 1.7% on 20 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 29% on 13 Jul 2024. $93.67K traded over the market's life.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 5:52 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 12 Jul 2024 – 20 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2024 | 55.5% |
| 20 Jul 2024 | 1.7% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if 10 or more Democratic US Senators call on Joe Biden to drop out of the 2024 presidential race by July 19, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the New York Times official count, found here: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/biden-drop-out-democrats.html. If at any point it shows 10 or more on the tracker, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes." If it doesn't show 10 or more by the resolution date, this market will resolve to "No." If information from the New York Times page is rendered unavailable for over 24 hours, a consensus of credible reporting may be used to resolve this market using the same criteria as the New York Times.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/10-dem-senators-call-on-biden-to-drop-out-by-next-friday
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
