On Polymarket, Kathy Hochul (D) leads the 2026 New York governor's race at 95.7% against Bruce Blakeman (R) at 4.5%; $302K has traded on the race's winner market, $453 of it in the last 24 hours.
| Outcome | 30 days ago | Now |
|---|---|---|
| Kathy Hochul (D) | 95% | 96% |
| Bruce Blakeman (R) | 4.5% | 4.5% |
No headline in the news store names this room's people, places or question in the last 30 days.
Headlines sit at their own time. A headline near a move is not its cause.
Vultax Research: what copying a Polymarket trade 30 seconds late costs
Vultax Research: how Polymarket trader leaderboards compare
User reads of each candidate's English Wikipedia article, 24 Sep 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (30 days), beside “New York Governor Election Winner”. Shares are of the names listed here. A price far ahead of attention is a reason to look closer, not evidence of anything on its own.
Source: Wikimedia pageviews, user reads of each English Wikipedia article, read 24 Oct 2026
Each row is a Polymarket winner market on this seat: the outcome priced highest 30 days, 7 days and one day before Election Day, and the eventual winner's price at the same moments. The 2026 readings are taken on 4 October, 27 October and 2 November as the days arrive.
Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.
2022: Polymarket priced this seat in “Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York?”, which resolved Democrat on $82K traded. It ran on Polymarket's earlier automated market maker, whose prices the public price history does not include, so it carries a result and no checkpoints.
