On Polymarket, Julia Letlow (R) leads the 2026 Louisiana Senate race at 92.5% against Jamie Davis (D) at 8%; $60.3K has traded on the race's winner market, $597 of it in the last 24 hours.
Reading the race's prints and holders from Polymarket…
Money beside the odds
What each candidate's campaign has raised in the 2025–2026 cycle and held in cash at its latest report, from the Federal Election Commission, beside what Polymarket pays for a win. Money is not votes; a large gap between the two is worth a second look.
CandidatePriceRaisedCashCash on handReport through
Source: FEC all-candidates file, each campaign's authorized committees, 2025–2026 cycle, file of 25 Oct 2026. A dash means no FEC filing under that name; "registered" means the campaign has an FEC record and its first financial report is not in the file yet.
How the favourite fared 30 days, 7 days and one day before the vote
Each row is a Polymarket winner market on this seat: the outcome priced highest 30 days, 7 days and one day before Election Day, and the eventual winner's price at the same moments. The 2026 readings are taken on 4 October, 27 October and 2 November as the days arrive.
Prices are Polymarket's daily closing prices from its public price history, read at the last close before each checkpoint; outcomes that traded less than $1,000 over their life are left out, and a new market's opening 50% placeholder is not counted as a price.
Questions
Louisiana Senate Race 2026: questions and answers
When is the 2026 Louisiana Senate race?
On Election Day, 3 November 2026 (9 days away), the Tuesday after the first Monday in November, with the rest of the 2026 midterms. Polymarket's market on the race stays open until the result is called.
How is the winner decided?
Louisiana chose its Senate nominees in closed party primaries on 16 May and 27 June 2026; on 3 November the candidate with the most votes wins, with no majority needed (Louisiana Secretary of State).
How does the Polymarket market on this race resolve?
Polymarket's 2026 race markets resolve on the winner once the Associated Press, Fox News and NBC have all called the race for the same candidate, and on the official certification when they have not. Each market's rules, on its own page, are what count, including how it treats a replacement nominee or a runoff.
