failstober — Polymarket trader profile

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Predictions Analytics

failstober — Polymarket trader profile | Vultax

Recorded trading activityAvailable recent taker fills; not complete wallet history

Accepted fills

No matching rows in the bounded latest tape

Markets traded

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Recorded activity window

Taker notional

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Accepted recent fills only

Largest fill

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Maximum accepted taker notional

No accepted signalLatest activity Apr 28, 2026

This is bounded taker-side evidence, not complete wallet history. More profile metrics appear as this wallet is observed.

Independent provider positionsLast accepted provider snapshot · Complete provider response · Observed Sep 10, 8:11 PM

The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.

Returned position value

$131.57K

All returned positions at this observation

Returned position PnL

-$9.91K

Provider position PnL, separate from cohort PnL

Positions returned

118

Complete provider response

Markets represented

117

Distinct markets in the returned positions

Market	Outcome	Shares	Observed price	Observed value	Position PnL
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	383.1K	19.4%	$74.32K	-$13.41K
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	240.56K	1.9%	$4.69K	+$459.94
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	44.8K	5.7%	$2.53K	+$945.4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	26.89K	14.2%	$3.83K	-$7.82K
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	22.44K	50.2%	$11.28K	+$2.4K
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	14.44K	75.8%	$10.94K	+$26.11
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	8.98K	7.8%	$705.14	+$297.17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	4.86K	93.5%	$4.54K	+$1.56K
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	4.1K	96.9%	$3.97K	+$564.27
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	1.8%	$68.65	+$39.66
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	3.5%	$128.03	+$99.04
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.5%	$20.41	-$8.58
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.1%	$1.86	-$27.13
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	0.8%	$27.83	-$1.16
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	3.71K	2.5%	$94.63	+$65.64

Showing 25 of 118 returned rows. Complete provider response.

Independent provider positionsLoading the provider observation

Provider positions are loading. The cohort performance summary is available independently.

No series for this metric yet — try another metric.

14d

30d

Cross-venue exposure

Tracker room participation

Source evidence