Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 86.95 | $0.671 | $58.34 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes| buy |
| 86.96 |
| $0.690 |
| $60 |
| Jun 7, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 203.22 | $0.300 | $60.97 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETDown | buy | 6.92 | $0.240 | $1.66 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 203.23 | $0.310 | $63 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 135.65 | $0.100 | $13.56 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETDown | buy | 12.67 | $0.170 | $2.15 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETUp | buy | 58.56 | $0.066 | $3.87 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETUp | buy | 10.5 | $0.280 | $2.94 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown | sell | 49.29 | $0.140 | $6.9 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown | buy | 98.2 | $0.150 | $14.73 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 114.1 | $0.044 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETDown | buy | 84.04 | $0.048 | $4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 290.59 | $0.053 | $15.49 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 20.39 | $0.049 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 12.62 | $0.079 | $1 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETDown | buy | 22.4 | $0.089 | $1.99 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.3 | $0.229 | $0.98 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown | sell | 16.42 | $0.120 | $1.97 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 15.63 | $0.190 | $2.96 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown | buy | 16.94 | $0.289 | $4.89 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 28.85 | $0.104 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.105 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.042 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp | buy | 55.05 | $0.172 | $9.46 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp | buy | 40.49 | $0.361 | $14.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp | buy | 26.29 | $0.370 | $9.73 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp | buy | 23.68 | $0.410 | $9.71 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETDown | buy | 135.61 | $0.201 | $27.2 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp | buy | 32.5 | $0.447 | $14.54 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp | buy | 40.47 | $0.123 | $4.97 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown | buy | 37.39 | $0.133 | $4.97 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETDown | buy | 30.97 | $0.160 | $4.95 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 71.22 | $0.070 | $4.99 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 245.26 | $0.020 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | sell | 34.46 | $0.930 | $32.05 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | buy | 9.32 | $0.520 | $4.84 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | buy | 24.64 | $0.394 | $9.71 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | sell | 60.01 | $0.638 | $38.32 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp | buy | 59.73 | $0.166 | $9.9 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp | buy | 36.49 | $0.386 | $14.08 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | sell | 26.09 | $0.295 | $7.69 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 25.73 | $0.378 | $9.72 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETDown | buy | 13.08 | $0.372 | $4.86 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.069 | $3 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 61.11 | $0.180 | $11 | Feb 18, 2026 |