Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 46.71 | $0.193 | $7.24 | -$1.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 22?No | buy | 4.05 | $0.740 | $3 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 24.79 |
| $0.202 |
| $1.92 |
| -$3.08 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 11.89 | $0.505 | $1.49 | -$4.51 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 30.33 | $0.066 | $1.17 | -$0.83 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 6.46 | $0.620 | $1 | -$3 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.55 | -$0.45 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | Yes | 3.45 | $0.290 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 9.17 | $0.109 | $0.46 | -$0.54 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 3.42 | $0.440 | $0.46 | -$1.04 |
| sell |
| 3.4 |
| $0.460 |
| $1.56 |
| Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.930 | $1.08 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | sell | 1.12 | $0.951 | $1.07 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.57 | $0.001 | $0 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 9 | $0.220 | $1.98 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | sell | 1.21 | $0.930 | $1.13 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.830 | $1.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.850 | $1.51 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.077 | $2 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.910 | $1.31 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.077 | $1 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 2.22 | $0.450 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | sell | 4 | $0.540 | $2.16 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.983 | $1.17 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETDown | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown | sell | 1.58 | $0.798 | $1.26 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown | sell | 1.39 | $0.780 | $1.08 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.58 | $0.634 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.39 | $0.717 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETUp | sell | 2.2 | $0.492 | $1.08 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETUp | buy | 2.21 | $0.453 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETDown | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETDown | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETDown | sell | 1.81 | $0.680 | $1.23 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.064 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?Yes | buy | 3.18 | $0.314 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by June 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2.17 | $0.620 | $1.35 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No | sell | 1.09 | $0.926 | $1.01 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 86.96 | $0.023 | $2 | Jun 16, 2026 |