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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance say "Million", "Billion", and/or "Trillion" 5+ times during Bitcoin 2025 appearance on May 28?No | buy | 490 | $0.400 | $196 | May 27, 2025 |
Pakistan air/missile strike on Indian soil by Friday?Yes| buy |
| 5 |
| $0.360 |
| $1.8 |
| May 9, 2025 |
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 2–9?No | buy | 240 | $0.290 | $69.6 | May 9, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?Down | sell | 210 | $0.480 | $100.8 | May 9, 2025 |
Will Sporting beat Benfica?No | buy | 325 | $0.720 | $234 | May 9, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?Down | buy | 210 | $0.450 | $94.5 | May 9, 2025 |
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?No | buy | 5 | $0.520 | $2.6 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?No | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | May 7, 2025 |
Will Michael Saylor say "Tariff" 3+ times during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.390 | $1.95 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Michael Saylor say "Interest Rate" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?No | buy | 10 | $0.690 | $6.9 | Apr 30, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Zelenskyy" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?No | sell | 25 | $0.340 | $8.5 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Zelenskyy" during his 100 Day Commemorative Rally on April 29?No | buy | 25 | $0.320 | $8 | Apr 29, 2025 |
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 20?Up | buy | 120 | $0.500 | $60 | Apr 19, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Putin" during Meloni visit on April 17?No | buy | 180 | $0.440 | $79.2 | Apr 17, 2025 |
Will Jimmy Patronis win by more than 35%?No | buy | 120 | $0.998 | $119.76 | Apr 1, 2025 |
Will Uruguay beat Bolivia?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.350 | $1.75 | Mar 25, 2025 |
Nathaniel Wood vs. Morgan CharriereWood | buy | 20 | $0.460 | $9.2 | Mar 22, 2025 |