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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 11K | $0.045 | $500 | 20d ago |
|
| buy |
| 4.76K |
| $0.420 |
| $2K |
| Aug 1, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes | buy | 9.72K | $0.308 | $2.99K | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 5.07K | $0.197 | $1K | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.67K | $0.999 | $11.66K | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes | buy | 11.14K | $0.432 | $4.81K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.26K | $0.160 | $1K | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes | buy | 530.1 | $0.354 | $187.54 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | sell | 10.13K | $0.072 | $724.92 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | buy | 10.13K | $0.247 | $2.5K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.29K | $0.538 | $5K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?Yes | buy | 3.26K | $0.290 | $945 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?Yes | buy | 4.92K | $0.406 | $2K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 11?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.211 | $500 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Yes | buy | 13.62K | $0.046 | $632 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 3.98K | $0.210 | $833.82 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 6.93K | $0.144 | $1K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 3.79K | $0.132 | $500 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 13.96K | $0.229 | $3.2K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 3.09K | $0.324 | $1K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 5.27K | $0.999 | $5.27K | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 6.55K | $0.611 | $4K | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 4.76K | $0.005 | $21.54 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 18.33K | $0.020 | $368.77 | May 31, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 5.27K | $0.190 | $1K | May 31, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 7.42K | $0.135 | $1K | May 31, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?No | buy | 6.34K | $0.158 | $1K | May 23, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.76K | $0.210 | $998.5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 18.33K | $0.270 | $4.95K | May 6, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 24.67K | $0.145 | $3.59K | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 7.81K | $0.181 | $1.41K | Apr 16, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.26K | $0.190 | $999.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.453 | $688.94 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.245 | $500 | Mar 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?Yes | buy | 6.06K | $0.082 | $500 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.165 | $917 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 10K | $0.001 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 12.49K | $0.034 | $427.18 | Feb 27, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67K | $0.150 | $2.5K | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 11.83K | $0.014 | $168 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 10.79K | $0.046 | $500 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 9.64K | $0.052 | $500 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 12.49K | $0.040 | $500 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 22.55K | $0.100 | $2.25K | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.82K | $0.110 | $749.73 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 13.75K | $0.012 | $163.69 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 13.75K | $0.036 | $500 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14K | $0.280 | $2K | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 16.48K | $0.180 | $2.97K | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.03K | $0.142 | $1K | Feb 18, 2026 |