Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?No | sell | 43.04 | $0.983 | $42.31 | Feb 24, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 43.04 |
| $0.984 |
| $42.35 |
| Feb 24, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 43 | $0.985 | $42.36 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42.12 | $0.986 | $41.53 | Feb 6, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 415 | $0.985 | $408.78 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 417.45 | $0.986 | $411.61 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | sell | 420 | $0.980 | $411.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?No | buy | 427.76 | $0.981 | $419.63 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 420 | $0.977 | $410.34 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 422.33 | $0.978 | $413.04 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 12.25K | $0.997 | $12.21K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 12.3K | $0.998 | $12.28K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | sell | 5K | $0.992 | $4.96K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?No | buy | 5K | $0.993 | $4.97K | Jan 18, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.84K | $0.957 | $12.29K | Jan 18, 2026 |
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.84K | $0.959 | $12.32K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No | sell | 12.34K | $0.998 | $12.32K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?No | buy | 12.35K | $0.999 | $12.34K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 12.36K | $0.998 | $12.34K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 12.37K | $0.999 | $12.36K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 5K | $0.989 | $4.95K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 5K | $0.990 | $4.95K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 12.41K | $0.996 | $12.36K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.41K | $0.997 | $12.38K | Jan 18, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 504 | $0.998 | $502.99 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 504 | $0.999 | $503.5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 505.51 | $0.996 | $503.49 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 505.51 | $0.997 | $503.99 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | sell | 525.55 | $0.959 | $504 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 525.55 | $0.960 | $504.53 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 505.53 | $0.998 | $504.52 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 505.53 | $0.999 | $505.02 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 404.65 | $0.996 | $403.03 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 404.65 | $0.998 | $403.84 | Jan 12, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 405.05 | $0.997 | $403.83 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | sell | 407.51 | $0.991 | $403.84 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 407.51 | $0.992 | $404.25 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 192.13 | $0.996 | $191.36 | Jan 10, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 192.12 | $0.994 | $190.97 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 384.25 | $0.995 | $382.33 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 236.84 | $0.380 | $90 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 100.01 | $0.994 | $99.41 | Jan 7, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.01 | $0.993 | $99.31 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.51 | $0.988 | $99.3 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.949 | $4.75 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.969 | $4.85 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?Yes | buy | 7.46 | $0.670 | $5 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 129.43 | $0.987 | $127.75 | Dec 27, 2025 |